Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Magdeburg	Draw	Sampdoria
43.99% ( -1.78)	24.1% ( 0.02)	31.91% ( 1.77)

Both teams to score 59.74% (

0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.43% (

0.75)

42.57% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.03% (

0.74)

64.98% (

-0.73)

Magdeburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45% (

-0.45)

19.56% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.53% (

-0.74)

51.47% (

0.75)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26% (

1.5)

25.75% (

-1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32% (

1.98)

60.68% (

-1.98)

Score Analysis

Magdeburg 43.99%

Sampdoria 31.91%

Draw 24.1%

Magdeburg	Draw	Sampdoria
2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 43.99%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.91%