Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 57.9%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 21.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 1-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Dusseldorf	Draw	Magdeburg
57.9% ( -0.97)	20.7% ( 0.29)	21.4% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 61.86% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.63% (

-0.46)

35.37% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.6% (

-0.51)

57.4% (

0.51)

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

-0.41)

12.1% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.34% (

-0.88)

37.65% (

0.88)

Magdeburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.38% (

0.34)

29.62% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.34% (

0.41)

65.66% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Dusseldorf 57.9%

Magdeburg 21.4%

Draw 20.7%

Fortuna Dusseldorf	Draw	Magdeburg
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.48% Total : 57.9%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.7%	1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.03% Total : 21.4%