Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.