Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Hansa Rostock win it was 1-2 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.