Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.32%) and 1-3 (5.13%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.