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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 10, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Merkur Spiel-Arena

Dusseldorf
0 - 1
Holstein Kiel


Klaus (14'), Engelhardt (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Holtby (18')
Rapp (15')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Fortuna Dusseldorf and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Dusseldorf

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Magdeburg 1-2 Dusseldorf
Tuesday, December 5 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 3-2 Wiesbaden
Saturday, December 2 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawHolstein Kiel
44.5% (0.014000000000003 0.01)22.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)32.76% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 65.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.62% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.32% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)57.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)16.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.66% (0.012999999999998 0.01)46.34% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.92% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.18% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 44.5%
    Holstein Kiel 32.76%
    Draw 22.74%
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.53%
2-0 @ 5.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 6.76%
0-0 @ 3.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 32.76%

Head to Head
May 6, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 31
Dusseldorf
3-0
Holstein Kiel
Appelkamp (14'), Hoffmann (19'), Ginczek (24' pen.)
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 14
Holstein Kiel
1-2
Dusseldorf
Skrzybski (70')
Appelkamp (42'), Kownacki (82' pen.)
Feb 6, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Holstein Kiel
1-0
Dusseldorf
Sterner (90+3')
Porath (50')

Bozenik (3'), de Wijs (73')
Aug 20, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Dusseldorf
2-2
Holstein Kiel
Narey (40'), Peterson (87')
Klarer (9')
Muhling (5'), Skrzybski (65')
Benger (45'), Bartels (58'), Arp (90')
Feb 8, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 20
Dusseldorf
0-2
Holstein Kiel

Prib (40'), Krajnc (45')
Muhling (36' pen.), Jae-sung (47')
Dehm (63')