2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Fortuna Dusseldorf logo

Holstein Kiel
1 - 1
Dusseldorf

Pichler (2')
Sander (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tzolis (70' pen.)
Engelhardt (73'), Iyoha (90+2'), Hoffmann (90+6')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
46.81% (0.055 0.05)22.07% (0.013000000000002 0.01)31.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 66.87% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.95% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)33.04% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.22% (-0.121 -0.12)54.77% (0.116 0.12)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)14.73% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.06% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)42.94% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)21.58% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32% (-0.138 -0.14)54.67% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 46.81%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 31.11%
    Draw 22.07%
Holstein KielDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 46.81%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.18% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.07%
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 31.11%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 16
Dusseldorf
0-1
Holstein Kiel

Klaus (14'), Engelhardt (45+1')
Holtby (18')
Rapp (15')
May 6, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 31
Dusseldorf
3-0
Holstein Kiel
Appelkamp (14'), Hoffmann (19'), Ginczek (24' pen.)
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 14
Holstein Kiel
1-2
Dusseldorf
Skrzybski (70')
Appelkamp (42'), Kownacki (82' pen.)
Feb 6, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Holstein Kiel
1-0
Dusseldorf
Sterner (90+3')
Porath (50')

Bozenik (3'), de Wijs (73')
Aug 20, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Dusseldorf
2-2
Holstein Kiel
Narey (40'), Peterson (87')
Klarer (9')
Muhling (5'), Skrzybski (65')
Benger (45'), Bartels (58'), Arp (90')