Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
Nuremberg	Draw	Holstein Kiel
31.15% ( 0.05)	23.96% ( 0.05)	44.89% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 59.87% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.77% (

-0.19)

42.23% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.36% (

-0.19)

64.63% (

0.19)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.95% (

-0.06)

26.05% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.91% (

-0.09)

61.09% (

0.09)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.96% (

-0.11)

19.03% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.39% (

-0.19)

50.61% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Nuremberg 31.15%

Holstein Kiel 44.89%

Draw 23.96%

Nuremberg	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.15%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 44.89%