Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.