Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greuther Furth in this match.