Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.