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Serie B | Gameweek 37
May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
1 - 0
Reggiana

Esposito (16')
Gonzalez (3'), Depaoli (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rozzio (15'), Gondo (31'), Bianco (60'), Libutti (83'), Szyminski (90+7')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sampdoria and Reggiana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecco 0-1 Sampdoria
Wednesday, May 1 at 5pm in Serie B
Last Game: Reggiana 1-0 Modena
Wednesday, May 1 at 5pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sampdoria in this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawReggiana
45.19% (-1.183 -1.18)25.99% (0.36 0.36)28.82% (0.826 0.83)
Both teams to score 51.8% (-0.573 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (-1.002 -1)52.2% (1.005 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (-0.87 -0.87)73.91% (0.872 0.87)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (-0.97 -0.97)23.04% (0.973 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (-1.446 -1.45)56.86% (1.45 1.45)
Reggiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (0.10400000000001 0.1)32.7% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74% (0.114 0.11)69.26% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 45.19%
    Reggiana 28.82%
    Draw 25.99%
SampdoriaDrawReggiana
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.353 0.35)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 28.82%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 17
Reggiana
1-2
Sampdoria
Portanova (90+1')
Marcandalli (25'), Portanova (38'), Pieragnolo (75'), Fiamozzi (79')
Kasami (44'), De Luca (46')
De Luca (10'), Depaoli (73'), La Gumina (79')
La Gumina (90+2')