Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 36.24%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.