Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 42.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 28.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.