Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 47.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.