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Serie B | Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
1 - 0
Bari

Verde (84')
Esposito (19'), Verde (85'), Zurkowski (87'), Elia (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Achik (21'), Koutsoupias (40'), Maita (69'), Di Cesare (87')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Ascoli 1-2 Spezia
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in Serie B

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 2-1 Sudtirol
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawBari
33.79% (-0.539 -0.54)27.83% (0.026999999999997 0.03)38.38% (0.511 0.51)
Both teams to score 48.13% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.24% (-0.162 -0.16)57.75% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.5% (-0.128 -0.13)78.49% (0.127 0.13)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (-0.441 -0.44)32.05% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (-0.506 -0.51)68.51% (0.50399999999999 0.5)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.224 0.22)29.17% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.273 0.27)65.11% (-0.274 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 33.78%
    Bari 38.37%
    Draw 27.82%
SpeziaDrawBari
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.78%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.35% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.82%
0-1 @ 11.51% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.37%

How you voted: Spezia vs Bari

Spezia
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bari
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2018 5pm
Bari
1-1
Spezia
Brienza (71')
Forte (10')
Forte (13'), Mora (40')
Sep 30, 2017 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Bari
Lopez (84')
Capelli (30'), Maggiore (50'), Lopez (62')
Capelli (75')

Tello (32'), Improta (59'), Busellato (66'), Basha (90')