Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Spezia Calcio logo

Ascoli
1 - 2
Spezia

Bellusci (51')
Bellusci (32'), Castori (32'), D'Uffizi (53'), Haveri (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Verde (22' pen.), Hristov (89')
Cassata (31'), Amian (53'), Zurkowski (77')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: Venezia 3-1 Ascoli
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in Serie B

Spezia

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Spezia 0-1 Parma
Saturday, December 2 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
AscoliDrawSpezia
42.16% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)26.72% (0.010000000000002 0.01)31.12% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)54.12% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)75.54% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)25.38% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)60.18% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (0.013999999999996 0.01)32.02% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)68.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 42.16%
    Spezia 31.12%
    Draw 26.71%
AscoliDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.16%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.12%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 24
Spezia
3-1
Ascoli
Mastinu (66'), Gyasi (74'), N'Zola (86')
Ferrer (29'), Mora (49'), Ricci (60'), N'Zola (87')
Morosini (30')
Troiano (26'), Sernicola (43'), Scamacca (90')
Troiano (55')
Sep 24, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 5
Ascoli
3-0
Spezia
Ninkovic (4' pen.), Da Cruz (45'), Ardemagni (60')
Ardemagni (18'), Ninkovic (20'), Padoin (80')

Ramos (3'), Vignali (44'), Gyasi (55')
Ramos (53')
Apr 14, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 33
Spezia
3-2
Ascoli
Galabinov (51' pen., 80'), Okereke (57')
Augello (58'), Maggiore (90')
Brosco (17'), Ardemagni (34')
Ninkovic (44')
Ninkovic (44'), Addae (86')
Dec 1, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 14
Ascoli
3-1
Spezia
Ardemagni (1'), Cavion (46'), Padella (90')
Ninkovic (48'), Lanni (90'), Padella (90')
Ninkovic (49')
Okereke (55')
Okereke (56')
Bidaoui (68')
Mar 24, 2018 5pm
Spezia
1-1
Ascoli
Marilungo (70')
Mora (33'), Capelli (88'), Granoche (88')
Mora (41')
Lores (90')
Buzzegoli (46'), Mogos (52'), Addae (88')