Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari
2 - 1
Sudtirol

Sibilli (25' pen.), Di Cesare (71')
Acampora (20'), Sibilli (75'), Ricci (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vinetot (36')
Ghiringhelli (13'), Peeters (39'), Vinetot (61'), Davi (75')
Cuomo (15')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Lecco 1-0 Bari
Sunday, December 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-1 Como
Sunday, December 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
BariDrawSudtirol
54.16% (-0.128 -0.13)26.84% (0.139 0.14)18.99% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 39.85% (-0.344 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.32% (-0.442 -0.44)62.67% (0.436 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.77% (-0.324 -0.32)82.23% (0.319 0.32)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.24900000000001 -0.25)23.47% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (-0.36 -0.36)57.49% (0.354 0.35)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.08% (-0.283 -0.28)47.92% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.83% (-0.209 -0.21)83.17% (0.203 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Bari 54.16%
    Sudtirol 18.99%
    Draw 26.83%
BariDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 16.3% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 11.81% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.24% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 8.28% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 18.99%

Head to Head
Jun 2, 2023 7.30pm
Bari
1-0
Sudtirol
Benedetti (70')
Folorunsho (90')
Ricci (45+3')

Mawuli (31'), Mazzocchi (57'), Siega (64'), Vinetot (90')
> Preview
May 29, 2023 7.30pm
Sudtirol
1-0
Bari
Rover (90+2')
Apr 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 32
Sudtirol
0-1
Bari
Morachioli (90+3')
Nov 12, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 13
Bari
2-2
Sudtirol
Di Cesare (43'), Salcedo (65')
Tait (21'), Odogwu (37')