Serie B | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli
2 - 2
Bari

Mendes (72' pen., 79')
Falasco (30'), Di Tacchio (33'), Botteghin (71'), Masini (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sibilli (9' pen.), Edjouma (20')
Nasti (15'), Edjouma (37'), Kallon (39'), Benali (64'), Dorval (71')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: Parma 1-1 Ascoli
Sunday, January 14 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 3-1 Ternana
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Bari had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
AscoliDrawBari
37.38% (-0.186 -0.19)29.04% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)33.58% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 44.64% (0.285 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.95% (0.327 0.33)62.05% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.23% (0.241 0.24)81.77% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (0.054000000000002 0.05)31.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (0.059999999999999 0.06)68.37% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (0.36499999999999 0.36)34.43% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (0.388 0.39)71.14% (-0.389 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 37.37%
    Bari 33.57%
    Draw 29.03%
AscoliDrawBari
1-0 @ 12.54% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.17% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 37.37%
1-1 @ 13.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.98% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29.03%
0-1 @ 11.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 33.57%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 12
Bari
1-0
Ascoli
Sibilli (80')
Vicari (14'), Ricci (37'), Acampora (53')

Di Tacchio (42'), Giovane (50'), Milanese (90+1'), Adjapong (90+7')
Mar 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 28
Ascoli
0-1
Bari
Cheddira (45+3' pen.)
Oct 15, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Bari
0-2
Ascoli
Simic (78'), Dionisi (90')
Mar 28, 2018 7.30pm
Ascoli
1-0
Bari
Buzzegoli (3')
Addae (27'), Mengoni (31')

Sabelli (44')
Oct 28, 2017 2pm
Bari
3-0
Ascoli
Galano (54'), Mogos (59' og.), Floro Flores (73')
Gyomber (21'), Improta (22'), Petriccione (83')

Parlati (39'), Carpani (49')
Gigliotti (38')