Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ascoli in this match.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Catanzaro
41.92% ( -0.01)	26.37% ( 0.02)	31.71% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.05% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.47% (

-0.06)

52.53% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.8% (

-0.05)

74.2% (

0.06)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21% (

-0.03)

24.78% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64% (

-0.05)

59.36% (

0.05)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

-0.03)

30.8% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.92% (

-0.04)

67.07% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 41.91%

Catanzaro 31.71%

Draw 26.37%

Ascoli	Draw	Catanzaro
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.91%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.71%