Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.