Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro
2 - 0
Pisa

Ambrosino (53'), Marin (82' og.)
Krajnc (33'), Ambrosino (54'), Verna (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Canestrelli (36'), Piccinini (84')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Pisa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palermo 1-2 Catanzaro
Friday, December 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 0-0 Cremonese
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawPisa
49.09% (0.40600000000001 0.41)26.34% (-0.138 -0.14)24.57% (-0.269 -0.27)
Both teams to score 47.49% (0.136 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81% (0.303 0.3)56.19% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76% (0.244 0.24)77.24% (-0.244 -0.24)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (0.31400000000001 0.31)22.94% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (0.46100000000001 0.46)56.72% (-0.461 -0.46)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.63% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)38.37% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.88% (-0.073 -0.07)75.12% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 49.08%
    Pisa 24.57%
    Draw 26.34%
CatanzaroDrawPisa
1-0 @ 12.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.54% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 49.08%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.57%