Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.