Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Spezia Calcio logo

Cittadella
4 - 1
Spezia

Carriero (15'), Pittarello (75', 81'), Maistrello (86')
Carissoni (10'), Giraudo (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moro (61')
Elia (51'), Nikolaou (59'), Hristov (75'), Pietra (79')
D'Angelo (78')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cittadella

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 1-1 Cittadella
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 1-0 Bari
Friday, December 15 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.

Result
CittadellaDrawSpezia
44.3% (0.091999999999999 0.09)27.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)28% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 46.34% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.03% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)58.97% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.55% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)79.45% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.49% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (0.038000000000004 0.04)61.67% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)36.96% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)73.74% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cittadella 44.3%
    Spezia 28%
    Draw 27.69%
CittadellaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 13% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.3%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.79% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 28%

How you voted: Cittadella vs Spezia

Cittadella
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Spezia
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 20
Spezia
1-1
Cittadella
Gyasi (12')
Gyasi (8')
Iori (36' pen.)
Benedetti (49')
Aug 24, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 1
Cittadella
0-3
Spezia

Adorni (29'), Ghiringhelli (78')
Ricci (48'), Galabinov (51'), Mora (62')
Gyasi (57')
May 17, 2019 8pm
Preliminary Round
Spezia
1-2
Cittadella
Maggiore (52')
Da Cruz (90')
Moncini (22', 66')
Siega (29'), Panico (34'), Branca (45')
Feb 9, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 23
Cittadella
0-1
Spezia

Adorni (9'), Frare (16'), Settembrini (27'), Benedetti (36'), Proia (73'), Parodi (81')
Adorni (50')
Galabinov (76')
Bartolomei (34'), Ligi (87')
Sep 22, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 4
Spezia
1-0
Cittadella
Crimi (48')
Giani (61'), Crimi (88')

Ghiringhelli (10'), Siega (79')
Panico (38')