Serie B | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari
3 - 1
Ternana

Ricci (41'), Nasti (43'), Dorval (83')
Kallon (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Diakite (86')
Labojko (55'), Lucchesi (71'), Raimondo (81')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Bari
Tuesday, December 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 1-1 Pisa
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
BariDrawTernana
46.31% (-1.086 -1.09)26.32% (0.091999999999999 0.09)27.37% (0.992 0.99)
Both teams to score 49.85% (0.473 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73% (0.252 0.25)54.26% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.34% (0.21 0.21)75.66% (-0.20899999999999 -0.21)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)23.4% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (-0.576 -0.58)57.38% (0.576 0.58)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07% (0.949 0.95)34.92% (-0.948 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33% (0.986 0.99)71.66% (-0.98599999999999 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Bari 46.3%
    Ternana 27.37%
    Draw 26.31%
BariDrawTernana
1-0 @ 11.86% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 46.3%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.6% (0.137 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.196 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.186 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.126 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 27.37%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Ternana
0-0
Bari
Diakite (3'), Falletti (74'), Favasuli (78')
Ricci (50'), Nasti (90+1')
Mar 19, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 30
Ternana
1-0
Bari
Partipilo (19')
Oct 28, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bari
0-0
Ternana
Feb 24, 2018 2pm
Ternana
1-2
Bari
Defendi (11')
Montalto (78')
Henderson (3'), Marrone (63')
Sep 23, 2017 2pm
Bari
3-0
Ternana
Cisse (10', 56'), Improta (20')
Gyomber (48')

Signorini (37')