Serie B | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi

Lecco
2 - 3
Ternana

Ionita (21'), Buso (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Raimondo (51', 69'), Luperini (76')
Falletti (45+3'), Raimondo (68'), de Boer (88'), Luperini (90+2')
de Boer (88')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecco and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecco

All competitions
Last Game: Sampdoria 2-0 Lecco
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in Serie B

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 2-1 FeralpiSalo
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Lecco win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.

Result
LeccoDrawTernana
32.2% (0.153 0.15)26.42% (0.131 0.13)41.37% (-0.285 -0.28)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.367 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.37% (-0.494 -0.49)52.62% (0.492 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.72% (-0.425 -0.43)74.27% (0.425 0.42)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)30.51% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (-0.174 -0.17)66.73% (0.17099999999999 0.17)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.37 -0.37)25.11% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (-0.514 -0.51)59.81% (0.513 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Lecco 32.2%
    Ternana 41.36%
    Draw 26.42%
LeccoDrawTernana
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.4% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.2%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.66% (0.148 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 10.58% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.37% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 41.36%