Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati

Ternana
2 - 1
FeralpiSalo

Distefano (42'), Lucchesi (68')
Diakite (70'), Iannarilli (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tonetto (52')
Hergheligiu (66'), Butic (81'), Zennaro (88')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and FeralpiSalo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Cosenza 1-3 Ternana
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in Serie B

FeralpiSalo

All competitions
Last Game: FeralpiSalo 0-1 Cittadella
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.

Result
TernanaDrawFeralpiSalo
48.28% (0.179 0.18)26.7% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)25.02% (-0.109 -0.11)
Both teams to score 46.92% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.87% (0.175 0.18)57.13% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22% (0.138 0.14)78% (-0.142 -0.14)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28% (0.158 0.16)23.72% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (0.228 0.23)57.85% (-0.231 -0.23)
FeralpiSalo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)75.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ternana 48.28%
    FeralpiSalo 25.02%
    Draw 26.69%
TernanaDrawFeralpiSalo
1-0 @ 13.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.45% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 48.28%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.13% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 25.02%