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Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
3 - 1
Ternana

Man (10'), Cyprien (52'), Bernabe (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raimondo (8')
Labojko (14'), Lucchesi (68'), Marginean (88')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 0-0 Parma
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Lecco 2-3 Ternana
Sunday, December 17 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 23.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawTernana
50.9% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)25.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)23.39% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 48.1% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.09% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43%21.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)38.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)75.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Parma 50.9%
    Ternana 23.39%
    Draw 25.7%
ParmaDrawTernana
1-0 @ 12.79%
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.9%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 7.92%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.4%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 23.39%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 24
Ternana
1-1
Parma
Palumbo (4')
Bernabe (36')
Sep 10, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 5
Parma
2-3
Ternana
Del Prato (31'), Inglese (51')
Coulibaly (48'), Donnarumma (67'), Corrado (86')
Feb 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 24
Parma
2-3
Ternana
Cobbaut (16'), Vazquez (22')
Donnarumma (4'), Partipilo (11'), Pettinari (58')
Koutsoupias (79')
Sep 22, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 5
Ternana
3-1
Parma
Sorensen (66'), Defendi (75'), Falletti (87')
Ghiringhelli (41'), Capuano (59')
Benedyczak (76')
Del Prato (39'), Brunetta (70')
May 1, 2018 2pm
Parma
2-0
Ternana
Ceravolo (19'), Di Gaudio (39')
Ciciretti (72'), Di Cesare (83')

Signori (34'), Signorini (89')