Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggiana would win this match.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Reggiana
33.03% ( -0.05)	29.55% ( -0.01)	37.42% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 43.18% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.21% (

0.02)

63.79% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.96% (

0.01)

83.03% (

-0.01)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.25% (

-0.03)

35.75% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.48% (

-0.03)

72.52% (

0.03)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.2% (

0.05)

32.8% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.64% (

0.05)

69.36% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 33.03%

Reggiana 37.42%

Draw 29.54%

Sudtirol	Draw	Reggiana
1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.03% Total : 33.03%	1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.54%	0-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.42%