Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.