Serie B | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Brescia logo

Ascoli
1 - 1
Brescia

Mendes (38' pen.)
Bellusci (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dickmann (44')
van de Looi (45+2')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Brescia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: FeralpiSalo 0-1 Ascoli
Saturday, February 24 at 1pm in Serie B

Brescia

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 0-0 Reggiana
Saturday, February 24 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
AscoliDrawBrescia
40.13% (-0.206 -0.21)29.21% (0.093 0.09)30.66% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 43.53% (-0.206 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.91% (-0.271 -0.27)63.09% (0.269 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.47% (-0.198 -0.2)82.53% (0.19500000000001 0.2)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.259 -0.26)30.78% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-0.305 -0.31)67.05% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)37.11% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1% (-0.064 -0.06)73.9% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 40.13%
    Brescia 30.66%
    Draw 29.2%
AscoliDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 13.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 40.13%
1-1 @ 13.34% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.42% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.2%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 30.66%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 8
Brescia
1-1
Ascoli
Moncini (85')
Galazzi (25'), Dickmann (27')
Falzerano (15')
Nestorovski (29'), Falzerano (45+3'), Bellusci (84')
Apr 1, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 31
Ascoli
4-3
Brescia
Mendes (42'), Forte (47'), Caligara (90+1' pen.), Marsura (90+5')
Listkowski (19'), Aye (65' pen.), Bisoli (90+9')
Nov 5, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 12
Brescia
1-1
Ascoli
Aye (54')
Botteghin (90+3')
Feb 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Brescia
2-0
Ascoli
Palacio (19', 52')
Bisoli (35'), Tramoni (65')

Botteghin (27'), Caligara (63'), Bidaoui (71')
Sep 25, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 6
Ascoli
2-3
Brescia
Dionisi (17'), Felicioli (23')
Botteghin (32'), De Paoli (85')
Cistana (44'), Chancellor (60'), Pajac (73' pen.)
Mateju (29')