Serie B | Gameweek 30
Mar 16, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Cittadella
1 - 1
Modena

Amatucci (13')
Branca (7'), Rizza (35')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Magnino (42')
Santoro (45+2'), Cauz (84')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cosenza 0-0 Cittadella
Saturday, March 9 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 2-3 FeralpiSalo
Saturday, March 9 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Modena had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
CittadellaDrawModena
40.8% (0.039000000000001 0.04)27.21% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)31.99% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.54% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.22% (0.074999999999996 0.07)55.78% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09% (0.062999999999999 0.06)76.91% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.057999999999993 0.06)26.85% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (0.073999999999998 0.07)62.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (0.027000000000001 0.03)32.27% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.24% (0.030000000000001 0.03)68.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cittadella 40.8%
    Modena 31.99%
    Draw 27.21%
CittadellaDrawModena
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.8%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 9.8% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.99%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 17
Modena
1-1
Cittadella
Duca (3')
Falcinelli (46'), Zaro (90+4')
Cassano (29')
Cassano (17'), Salvi (18'), Mastrantonio (36'), Branca (79')
Apr 2, 2023 3.15pm
Nov 5, 2022 1pm
rhs 2.0


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