Serie B | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Parma logo

Cittadella
1 - 2
Parma

Negro (45+3')
Negro (2'), Angeli (37')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bernabe (8'), Hernani (38')
Estevez (16'), Del Prato (56')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cittadella

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 2-0 Cittadella
Saturday, February 3 at 1pm in Serie B

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Parma 2-1 Venezia
Saturday, February 3 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
CittadellaDrawParma
34.63% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)37.32% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.53% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)58.47% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.94% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)79.06% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)30.16% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)66.31% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cittadella 34.62%
    Parma 37.32%
    Draw 28.04%
CittadellaDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.62%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 11.51%
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.32%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Parma
2-0
Cittadella
Benedyczak (2' pen.), Bernabe (47')
Hernani (56')

Mastrantonio (11'), Frare (35')
Apr 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 32
Cittadella
0-1
Parma
Camara (21')
Nov 12, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 13
Parma
3-1
Cittadella
Del Prato (17'), Camara (57'), Benedyczak (67')
Antonucci (71')
Mar 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 29
Parma
1-1
Cittadella
Juric (81')
Vazquez (52'), Bernabe (59'), Juric (90+6'), Larangeira (90+7')
Beretta (26' pen.)
Visentin (42'), Vita (43'), Branca (67'), Cassandro (70'), Benedetti (83'), Beretta (90+4')
Visentin (74')
Oct 28, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cittadella
1-2
Parma
Baldini (78' pen.)
Kastrati (25'), Frare (49'), Branca (67'), Cassandro (85'), D'Urso (86')
Vazquez (23'), Benedyczak (59')
Cobbaut (77')