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Serie B | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Venezia

Parma
2 - 1
Venezia

Mihaila (21'), Camara (90+10')
Di Chiara (90+8'), Camara (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pohjanpalo (26')
Tessmann (16'), Egill Ellertsson (32')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Venezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 3-0 Parma
Saturday, January 27 at 1pm in Serie B

Venezia

All competitions
Last Game: Venezia 1-0 Ternana
Saturday, January 27 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawVenezia
45.98% (-0.354 -0.35)25.8% (0.176 0.18)28.22% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 52.01% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (-0.615 -0.62)51.74% (0.615 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49% (-0.535 -0.54)73.51% (0.53400000000001 0.53)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.419 -0.42)22.47% (0.419 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.63 -0.63)56.02% (0.63 0.63)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.188 -0.19)32.92% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (-0.208 -0.21)69.49% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Parma 45.98%
    Venezia 28.22%
    Draw 25.8%
ParmaDrawVenezia
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.158 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 28.22%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Venezia
3-2
Parma
Busio (46'), Tessmann (63'), Egill Ellertsson (78')
Benedyczak (54' pen.), Colak (90+3')
Hernani (35'), Di Chiara (36')
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Parma
2-1
Venezia
Vazquez (12' pen.), Camara (78')
Bernabe (25'), Camara (89')
Pohjanpalo (44')
Ceppitelli (40')
Dec 26, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 19
Venezia
2-2
Parma
Pohjanpalo (70'), Pierini (82')
Vazquez (45' pen., 50')
Aug 17, 2019 5pm
Third Round
Parma
3-1
Venezia
Gervinho (10', 72'), Iacoponi (22')
Alves (61'), Grassi (86')
Aramu (24' pen.)
Capello (59')
Feb 23, 2018 8pm
Parma
1-1
Venezia
Calaio (75' pen.)
Scavone (43')
Firenze (66')
Garofalo (37'), Stulac (45'), Modolo (51'), Andelkovic (75')