Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Modena had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Parma
34.44% ( 0.01)	27.02% ( -0)	38.54% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.69% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.41% (

54.59% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.07% (

75.93% (

-0)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97% (

0.01)

30.03% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.85% (

0.01)

66.15% (

-0.01)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

-0)

27.56% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92% (

-0.01)

63.07% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Modena 34.44%

Parma 38.53%

Draw 27.02%

Modena	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.44%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.53%