Serie B Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Pietro Candelari 1' yellowcard
  • Rachid Kouda 27' yellowcard
  • Iva Gelashvili 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Magnino 7'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Duca 45'+3'
  • goal Antonio Palumbo 64'
  • yellowcard Matteo Cotali 66'

Spezia vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 1.00pm
Cittadella 4 - 1 Spezia
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Daniele Verde

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 1.00pm
Cremonese 4 - 0 Modena
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Antonio Palumbo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Modena had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Spezia 46.96% (+0.02)
Draw 25.88% (-0.01)
Modena 27.16% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.01% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.32% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 52.68% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 25.67% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 74.32% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 11.79% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.21% (-0.01)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 77.58% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.42% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 44.05% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.94% (-0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 65.75% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.25% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 29.05% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 70.94% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Spezia 46.96%
Draw 25.88%
Modena 27.16%
Spezia
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 9.2% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.58% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.28% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 46.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.88%
Modena
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 27.16%