Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Modena had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Modena
46.96% ( 0.01)	25.88% ( -0)	27.16% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.01% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.32% (

0.01)

52.68% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.67% (

0.01)

74.32% (

-0.01)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

0.01)

22.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.05% (

0.02)

55.94% (

-0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.75% (

-0)

34.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.05% (

-0)

70.94% (

Score Analysis

Spezia 46.96%

Modena 27.16%

Draw 25.88%

Spezia	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 46.96%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 27.16%