Serie B | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Brescia logo

Modena
1 - 2
Brescia

Tremolada (52' pen.)
Cotali (24'), Battistella (36'), Strizzolo (45+1'), Cauz (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zaro (5' og.), Galazzi (30')
Dickmann (32'), Andrenacci (67'), van de Looi (82'), Huard (86'), Bisoli (90+2')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Brescia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Modena
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Brescia

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 0-2 Parma
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
ModenaDrawBrescia
38.56% (-0.058 -0.06)28.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)33.35% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)58.78% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)79.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)29.57% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)65.6% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (0.045000000000002 0.05)32.87% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55% (0.048999999999999 0.05)69.45% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Modena 38.55%
    Brescia 33.35%
    Draw 28.09%
ModenaDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 38.55%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 33.35%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Brescia
0-1
Modena

Lezzerini (88'), Papetti (90+9'), Bjarnason (90+6')
Zaro (90')
Palumbo (4'), Guiebre (55'), Pergreffi (75')
Feb 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 24
Brescia
0-1
Modena
Falcinelli (79' pen.)
Sep 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 5
Modena
1-3
Brescia
Bonfanti (18')
Aye (24'), Moreo (61'), Bianchi (90+9' pen.)