Serie B | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Cittadella
2 - 0
Palermo

Pandolfi (26'), Vita (80')
Branca (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stulac (30')
Stulac (50')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cittadella

All competitions
Last Game: Ascoli 0-0 Cittadella
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 3-2 Cremonese
Tuesday, December 26 at 5pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.

Result
CittadellaDrawPalermo
42.4% (-0.219 -0.22)27.53% (0.09 0.09)30.07% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 47.89% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.47% (-0.281 -0.28)57.53% (0.281 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (-0.222 -0.22)78.32% (0.223 0.22)
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.245 -0.25)26.81% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (-0.323 -0.32)62.1% (0.324 0.32)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)34.57% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71% (-0.055 -0.05)71.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Cittadella 42.4%
    Palermo 30.07%
    Draw 27.52%
CittadellaDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.27% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.07%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Palermo
0-1
Cittadella

Segre (90+5')
Pandolfi (90+7')
Amatucci (8'), Salvi (56'), Branca (90+5'), Pandolfi (90+9')
Mar 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 29
Cittadella
3-3
Palermo
Maistrello (3', 74'), Antonucci (23' pen.)
Di Mariano (33' pen., 64'), Brunori (45+2')
Oct 23, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 10
Palermo
0-0
Cittadella
May 11, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 38
Palermo
2-2
Cittadella
Nestorovski (21'), Trajkovski (23')
Diaw (65'), Adorni (82')
Frare (50')
Dec 30, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 19
Cittadella
0-1
Palermo

Adorni (37'), Benedetti (54')
Falletti (51')
Trajkovski (83'), Fiordilino (90')