Serie B | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati

Ternana
3 - 1
Cittadella

Carboni (22'), Lucchesi (46'), Pereiro (61')
Carboni (9'), Pereiro (67'), de Boer (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pandolfi (40')
Pavan (27'), Negro (49')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Cittadella.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 3-1 Ternana
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Cittadella

All competitions
Last Game: Cittadella 2-0 Palermo
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.

Result
TernanaDrawCittadella
35.74% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)29.75% (0.0040000000000013 0)34.5% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 42.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.68% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)64.32% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.58% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)83.41% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.83% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)34.16% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.14% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)70.85% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)35% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (0.021000000000001 0.02)71.74% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ternana 35.74%
    Cittadella 34.5%
    Draw 29.74%
TernanaDrawCittadella
1-0 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.74%
1-1 @ 13.48%
0-0 @ 11.95%
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.74%
0-1 @ 12.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.59% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 34.5%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Cittadella
2-2
Ternana
Maistrello (10'), Cassano (29')
Vita (58'), Branca (60')
Falletti (8' pen.), Sorensen (84')
Labojko (62')
Feb 25, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 26
Ternana
1-2
Cittadella
Diakite (32')
Crociata (67', 90+3')
Oct 1, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 7
Cittadella
0-2
Ternana
Palumbo (34'), Coulibaly (90+4')
Apr 2, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 32
Cittadella
1-2
Ternana
Tavernelli (90')
Vita (9'), Benedetti (52'), Lores (81'), Thioune (90+1')
Donnarumma (37', 90+4')
Furlan (33'), Agazzi (54'), Bogdan (56'), Martella (66'), Ghiringhelli (87')
Nov 20, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 13
Ternana
1-1
Cittadella
Partipilo (69')
Sorensen (47'), Boben (54'), Partipilo (63')
Vita (23')
Adorni (71'), Perticone (85')
rhs 2.0


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