Serie B | Gameweek 29
Mar 9, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
2 - 3
FeralpiSalo

Abiuso (6'), Palumbo (65' pen.)
Cauz (14'), Duca (37'), Ponsi (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Di Molfetta (34'), Butic (45+7' pen.), La Mantia (90+1' pen.)
Letizia (18'), Felici (84')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and FeralpiSalo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Modena 0-1 Cremonese
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: FeralpiSalo 1-3 Sampdoria
Sunday, March 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest FeralpiSalo win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
ModenaDrawFeralpiSalo
43.13% (-0.107 -0.11)28.41% (0.0010000000000012 0)28.46% (0.105 0.1)
Both teams to score 44.69% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.81% (0.039999999999999 0.04)61.19% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.86% (0.027999999999999 0.03)81.13% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)28.15% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)63.83% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
FeralpiSalo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.19% (0.107 0.11)37.8% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.42% (0.105 0.11)74.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Modena 43.13%
    FeralpiSalo 28.45%
    Draw 28.4%
ModenaDrawFeralpiSalo
1-0 @ 13.49% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 43.13%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.4%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 28.45%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 5
FeralpiSalo
1-1
Modena
Balestrero (9')
Felici (25'), Balestrero (42'), Fiordilino (53')
Felici (66')
Falcinelli (2')
Oukhadda (53'), Gargiulo (83'), Pergreffi (88'), Palumbo (90+4')