Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Spezia
38.43% ( 0.35)	27.34% ( 0.27)	34.23% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 49.68% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.15% (

-1.16)

55.84% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.04% (

-0.95)

76.96% (

0.95)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.78% (

-0.35)

28.22% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08% (

-0.44)

63.92% (

0.44)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.21% (

-0.98)

30.79% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.94% (

-1.17)

67.06% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Modena 38.43%

Spezia 34.23%

Draw 27.33%

Modena	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.43%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.23%