Serie B | Gameweek 21

Jan 20, 2024 at 1pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
0 - 1
Cremonese

Kouda (33'), Cassata (34'), Nikolaou (90+8'), Hristov (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coda (54')
Falletti (49'), Collocolo (70')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Cremonese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Como 4-0 Spezia
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Cremonese

All competitions

Serie B

Last Game: Cremonese 1-0 Cosenza
Sunday, January 14 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Cremonese
38.95% ( 0.07)	26.1% ( -0.01)	34.95% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 53.75% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.28% (

0.06)

50.72% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.38% (

0.05)

72.62% (

-0.05)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47% (

0.06)

25.52% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.62% (

0.09)

60.38% (

-0.08)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18% (

27.82% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59% (

63.41% (

Score Analysis

Spezia 38.95%

Cremonese 34.95%

Draw 26.09%

Spezia	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.95%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.95%