Serie B | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati
Spezia Calcio logo

Ternana
1 - 1
Spezia

Distefano (89')
Luperini (7'), Distefano (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Di Serio (90+5')
Cassata (36'), Mateju (49'), Nikolaou (90')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 0-1 Como
Saturday, February 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Catanzaro
Saturday, February 3 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
TernanaDrawSpezia
41.71% (1.453 1.45)26.77% (0.356 0.36)31.53% (-1.806 -1.81)
Both teams to score 50.74% (-1.685 -1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.82% (-1.897 -1.9)54.18% (1.902 1.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-1.608 -1.61)75.59% (1.614 1.61)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)25.64% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (-0.135 -0.13)60.54% (0.139 0.14)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (-2.171 -2.17)31.77% (2.174 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81% (-2.566 -2.57)68.2% (2.57 2.57)
Score Analysis
    Ternana 41.7%
    Spezia 31.53%
    Draw 26.76%
TernanaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.77 0.77)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.503 0.5)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.219 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.7%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.587 0.59)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.138 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.358 -0.36)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.318 -0.32)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.223 -0.22)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.53%

How you voted: Ternana vs Spezia

Ternana
34.8%
Draw
47.8%
Spezia
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Spezia
2-2
Ternana
Bertola (36'), Capuano (90+1' og.)
Esposito (37'), Kouda (75')
Casasola (32'), Diakite (67')
Favilli (37'), Labojko (66'), Casasola (69')
Mar 10, 2018 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Ternana
Forte (43')
Lopez (57'), Terzi (75'), Mora (90')
Finotto (28')
Valijent (88')
Oct 14, 2017 2pm
Ternana
4-2
Spezia
Albadoro (20'), Tremolada (35'), Angiulli (65'), Montalto (88')
Valijent (18')
Marilungo (1'), Granoche (12')
Lopez (77'), Terzi (90')
rhs 2.0


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