Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Como in this match.