Serie B | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Spezia Calcio logo

Pisa
2 - 3
Spezia

Torregrossa (33' pen.), Bonfanti (76')
Esteves (47'), Nicolas (57'), Caracciolo (80'), Canestrelli (82'), Masucci (87'), Tramoni (89')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Kouda (20'), Verde (36', 45' pen.)
Kouda (15'), Pietra (90+2'), Esposito (90+5')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Pisa and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pisa

All competitions
Last Game: Lecco 1-3 Pisa
Saturday, January 20 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 0-1 Cremonese
Saturday, January 20 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
PisaDrawSpezia
49.17% (0.082999999999998 0.08)25.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)25.29% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.48% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.38% (0.012 0.01)52.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73% (0.010000000000002 0.01)74.26% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (0.042000000000002 0.04)21.42% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.58% (0.061999999999998 0.06)54.42% (-0.061 -0.06)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.24% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)35.76% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)72.53% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Pisa 49.17%
    Spezia 25.29%
    Draw 25.53%
PisaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 49.17%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 25.29%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Spezia
0-0
Pisa
Verde (89'), Esposito (90+5'), Moro (90+10')
Ekdal (90+12')
Nicolas (90'), Tramoni (90+9')
Jun 29, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 31
Spezia
1-2
Pisa
Gyasi (26')
Erlic (1'), Mastinu (65'), Galabinov (87'), Gyasi (88')
Marconi (38', 86')
Nov 9, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 12
Pisa
3-2
Spezia
Marconi (31'), Aya (87'), Benedetti (92')
De Vitis (17'), Marconi (23'), Gucher (62'), Siega (72')
Marconi (93')
Ragusa (69', 76')
Bidaoui (90')