Serie B | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi

Lecco
1 - 3
Pisa

Lepore (82' pen.)
Lemmens (11'), Crociata (28'), Sersanti (28'), Salcedo (62'), Lepore (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veloso (30'), Calabresi (74'), Mlakar (85')
Marin (57'), Nicolas (82')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecco and Pisa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecco

All competitions
Last Game: Catanzaro 5-3 Lecco
Friday, January 12 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Pisa

All competitions
Last Game: Pisa 2-2 Reggiana
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Lecco win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.

Result
LeccoDrawPisa
28.63% (0.125 0.13)27.63% (0.146 0.15)43.74% (-0.267 -0.27)
Both teams to score 46.88% (-0.339 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.53% (-0.463 -0.46)58.47% (0.467 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95% (-0.362 -0.36)79.05% (0.366 0.37)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82% (-0.153 -0.15)36.18% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.04% (-0.155 -0.15)72.96% (0.15899999999999 0.16)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (-0.351 -0.35)26.54% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25% (-0.469 -0.47)61.75% (0.473 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Lecco 28.63%
    Pisa 43.73%
    Draw 27.63%
LeccoDrawPisa
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.131 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.96% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 28.63%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.6% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 12.73% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.058000000000002 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 43.73%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Pisa
1-2
Lecco
Tramoni (63')
Leverbe (19'), Tramoni (30'), Canestrelli (75')
Bianconi (23'), Tordini (90+6')
Novakovich (50'), Bianconi (51'), Melgrati (83'), Tordini (90+7')