Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecco win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecco would win this match.