Serie B | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi

Lecco
2 - 1
Sudtirol

Novakovich (63', 76')
Lepore (41'), Battistini (45+1'), Marrone (54'), Sersanti (65'), Degl'Innocenti (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Casiraghi (52' pen.)
Pecorino (33'), Rauti (56'), Peeters (59')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecco and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Venezia 2-2 Lecco
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 2-3 Reggiana
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecco win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecco would win this match.

Result
LeccoDrawSudtirol
37.9% (0.301 0.3)28.28% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)33.82% (-0.308 -0.31)
Both teams to score 46.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.63% (-0.055 -0.05)59.37% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.24% (-0.041 -0.04)79.76% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.75% (0.15600000000001 0.16)30.25% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58% (0.186 0.19)66.42% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)32.86% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (-0.264 -0.26)69.43% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Lecco 37.9%
    Sudtirol 33.82%
    Draw 28.27%
LeccoDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.033 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.9%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 9.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.16% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 33.82%

rhs 2.0


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