Serie B | Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro
5 - 3
Lecco

Verna (18'), Sounas (48', 65'), Iemmello (52'), Biasci (88')
Scognamillo (22'), Sounas (51'), Krajnc (72')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Di Stefano (25'), Lemmens (29'), Novakovich (55')
Lemmens (19'), Crociata (90+1')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Lecco.

Form, Standings, Stats

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last Game: Reggiana 1-0 Catanzaro
Tuesday, December 26 at 11.30am in Serie B

Lecco

All competitions
Last Game: Lecco 2-1 Sudtirol
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawLecco
60.55% (0.835 0.84)22.22% (-0.294 -0.29)17.24% (-0.539 -0.54)
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.51% (0.36 0.36)48.49% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.38% (0.328 0.33)70.62% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (0.402 0.4)15.58% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.46% (0.74 0.74)44.54% (-0.738 -0.74)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.36% (-0.44 -0.44)41.64% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88% (-0.388 -0.39)78.12% (0.389 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 60.54%
    Lecco 17.24%
    Draw 22.21%
CatanzaroDrawLecco
1-0 @ 12.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.21% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.182 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.128 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.064 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 60.54%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.21%
0-1 @ 5.68% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-2 @ 4.63% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 17.24%

How you voted: Catanzaro vs Lecco

Catanzaro
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Lecco
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Lecco
3-4
Catanzaro
Novakovich (64'), Caporale (83'), Eusepi (90+2')
Crociata (38'), Sersanti (85')
Iemmello (31'), Vandeputte (56'), Verna (85'), Donnarumma (88')
Vivarini (39'), Katseris (78')
rhs 2.0


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