Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
FeralpiSalo	Draw	Sampdoria
36.7% ( -0.48)	26.47% ( -0.04)	36.83% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 52.65% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.81% (

0.16)

52.19% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.1% (

0.13)

73.9% (

-0.14)

FeralpiSalo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.52% (

-0.2)

27.48% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.02% (

-0.26)

62.98% (

0.26)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.6% (

0.38)

27.4% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.12% (

0.49)

62.87% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

FeralpiSalo 36.7%

Sampdoria 36.83%

Draw 26.47%

FeralpiSalo	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.7%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.83%