Serie B | Gameweek 27

Feb 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
1 - 2
Cremonese

Ghilardi (13')
Gonzalez (49'), Ghilardi (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Johnsen (5'), Falletti (70')
Antov (7'), Majer (15'), Pickel (39'), Tsadjout (58')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sampdoria and Cremonese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions

Last Game: Cosenza 1-2 Sampdoria
Friday, February 23 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cremonese

All competitions

Last Game: Cremonese 2-2 Palermo
Saturday, February 24 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Cremonese
33.6% ( 0.43)	26.73% ( -0.02)	39.66% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 51.45% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.44% (

0.14)

53.55% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.93% (

0.12)

75.06% (

-0.12)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.94% (

0.35)

30.05% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.81% (

0.42)

66.18% (

-0.43)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

-0.17)

26.44% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.38% (

-0.22)

61.61% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 33.6%

Cremonese 39.66%

Draw 26.73%

Sampdoria	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 33.6%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.66%